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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.01vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.10+1.76vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+2.97vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-0.84+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.27-2.24vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.24-0.31vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-1.65vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.07-3.92vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.98-0.99vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Southern California1.480.4%1st Place
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4.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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4.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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5.76University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.0%1st Place
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7.64California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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8.69Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.35California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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12.01University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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8.61University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 36.0% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 14.6% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 3.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 1.8% |
| Arin Bekem | 11.3% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 6.0% |
| Christopher Shintani | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 4.3% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 5.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 69.8% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.