← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+3.82vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.48-0.21vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+1.26vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine0.27-0.75vs Predicted
-
7Arizona State University-1.24+2.21vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.07+0.70vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands-0.84-0.80vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California-0.10-3.64vs Predicted
-
11California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-2.22vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego-1.13-3.18vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-2.98-0.84vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-7.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
-
4.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
-
2.79University of Southern California1.480.3%1st Place
-
5.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
-
5.25University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
-
9.21Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
8.7University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
8.2California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
-
6.36University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
-
8.78California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.82University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
-
12.16University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
-
6.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 12.5% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 32.7% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Arin Bekem | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 21.2% | 7.4% |
| Sean Lipps | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 19.0% | 4.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 3.6% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Shintani | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 5.4% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 5.6% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 72.9% |
| Florence Duff | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.