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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+1.79vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+4.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.26vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.27-1.69vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-0.84+0.08vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California-0.10-2.75vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-1.17vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24-1.84vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.07-3.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13-3.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.98-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79University of Southern California1.480.3%1st Place
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6.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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5.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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4.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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5.31University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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8.08California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.83California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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9.16Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.63University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 31.2% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Colin Olson | 11.9% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 2.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Shintani | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 4.6% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 7.9% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 5.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 6.7% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.