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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.48+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+2.03vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.60vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.24+4.02vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.10-0.04vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07+1.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.27-2.92vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-0.84-1.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-5.72vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07-2.44vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13-4.16vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.98-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Southern California1.480.3%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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4.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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9.02Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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7.92California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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8.56University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.35California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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8.84University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 33.7% | 22.5% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 18.6% | 6.1% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 3.9% |
| Arin Bekem | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Colin Olson | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 5.4% |
| Christopher Shintani | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 4.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 6.5% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.