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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+3.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.48-0.33vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands-0.84+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.10+0.90vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.24+2.97vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine0.27-2.93vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.34vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.07-2.60vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy-1.06-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.98-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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5.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Southern California1.480.3%1st Place
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8.04California State University Channel Islands-0.840.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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8.97Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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4.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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8.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.66University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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8.4University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.69California Poly Maritime Academy-1.060.0%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 11.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hudson Mayfield | 33.3% | 22.5% | 17.1% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Stadtherr | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Edward Ansart | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 5.5% |
| Colin Olson | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 5.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 5.8% |
| Sean Lipps | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Shintani | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 71.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.