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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.28+1.20vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.08+0.61vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-0.96+0.08vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.53-0.02vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-2.05-0.05vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.98-1.32vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.35vs Predicted
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9Miami University-3.99+0.07vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-4.40-0.46vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-4.47-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.2Ohio State University0.280.4%1st Place
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2.61Washington University-0.080.3%1st Place
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4.64Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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4.98Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.95Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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5.68Michigan State University-1.980.1%1st Place
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7.65Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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9.07Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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9.54Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Notre Dame-4.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 37.2% | 29.1% | 18.4% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 26.9% | 28.2% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 9.9% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 6.8% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Caden Meyers | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 24.4% | 21.6% | 13.2% | 3.9% |
| Graham Parsons | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 12.7% | 23.5% | 27.7% | 22.1% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 26.8% | 36.4% |
| John Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 18.3% | 27.3% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.