← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University0.28+1.21vs Predicted
-
2Washington University-0.08+0.63vs Predicted
-
3Michigan State University-1.98+2.91vs Predicted
-
4Hope College-1.53+1.11vs Predicted
-
5Ohio State University-1.27-0.49vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University-2.05-0.04vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois-0.96-3.12vs Predicted
-
8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.32vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-4.47+0.67vs Predicted
-
10Purdue University-4.40-0.46vs Predicted
-
11Miami University-3.99-2.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.21Ohio State University0.280.4%1st Place
-
2.63Washington University-0.080.3%1st Place
-
5.91Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
-
5.11Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
-
4.51Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
-
5.96Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
3.88University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
-
7.68Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of Notre Dame-4.470.0%1st Place
-
9.54Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
-
8.92Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 36.2% | 29.1% | 19.1% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 27.1% | 26.6% | 20.8% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Meyers | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 15.7% | 21.1% | 16.9% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.7% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 12.4% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 4.2% |
| John Sullivan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 15.7% | 26.7% | 41.2% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 26.7% | 36.6% |
| Graham Parsons | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 24.9% | 28.3% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.