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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.28+1.19vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.08+0.62vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University-1.27+1.67vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-2.05+2.04vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-0.96-1.03vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.53-0.99vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.98-1.34vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.38vs Predicted
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9Miami University-3.99+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-4.47-0.35vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-4.40-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Ohio State University0.280.4%1st Place
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2.62Washington University-0.080.3%1st Place
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4.67Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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6.04Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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3.97University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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5.01Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.66Michigan State University-1.980.1%1st Place
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7.62Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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9.06Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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9.65University of Notre Dame-4.470.0%1st Place
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9.52Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 36.9% | 29.2% | 19.1% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 27.6% | 26.3% | 20.7% | 13.4% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 7.4% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 10.7% | 15.1% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Caden Meyers | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 24.7% | 20.0% | 14.1% | 3.8% |
| Graham Parsons | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 13.1% | 23.1% | 27.9% | 21.8% |
| John Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 16.3% | 26.2% | 39.9% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 20.4% | 27.6% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.