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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.08+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.96+1.97vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.28-0.77vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-2.05+2.09vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.27-0.46vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.98-0.16vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.53-2.18vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-4.47+0.67vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-4.40-0.43vs Predicted
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11Miami University-3.99-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Washington University-0.080.3%1st Place
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3.97University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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2.23Ohio State University0.280.4%1st Place
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6.09Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.54Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.84Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.82Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.66Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Notre Dame-4.470.0%1st Place
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9.57Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
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8.93Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 25.5% | 27.1% | 20.2% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 11.2% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 36.9% | 28.3% | 18.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 9.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Williams | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caden Meyers | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jack Rutherford | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 13.4% | 4.2% |
| John Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 15.3% | 26.9% | 41.1% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 27.1% | 36.5% |
| Graham Parsons | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 24.4% | 28.6% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.