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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.28+1.21vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois-0.96+1.99vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.08-0.30vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-2.05+2.08vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.53-0.02vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.98-0.17vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-1.27-2.65vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.35vs Predicted
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9Miami University-3.99+0.06vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-4.40-0.44vs Predicted
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11University of Notre Dame-4.47-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21Ohio State University0.280.4%1st Place
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3.99University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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2.7Washington University-0.080.2%1st Place
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6.08Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.98Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.83Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.35Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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7.65Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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9.06Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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9.56Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
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9.59University of Notre Dame-4.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadia Reynolds | 37.7% | 27.9% | 17.9% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 11.5% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 24.5% | 26.8% | 22.9% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 6.9% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caden Meyers | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Williams | 8.8% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 24.9% | 20.5% | 13.3% | 3.8% |
| Graham Parsons | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 12.2% | 23.5% | 27.6% | 22.3% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 9.1% | 17.6% | 27.0% | 36.2% |
| John Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 17.8% | 27.4% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.