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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington University-0.08+1.67vs Predicted
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2Ohio State University0.28+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois-0.96+1.07vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-2.05+2.07vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.27-0.47vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University-1.98-0.19vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.53-2.18vs Predicted
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8Saginaw Valley State University-3.10-0.36vs Predicted
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9Miami University-3.99+0.06vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-4.47-0.34vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-4.40-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Washington University-0.080.2%1st Place
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2.17Ohio State University0.280.4%1st Place
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4.07University of Illinois-0.960.1%1st Place
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6.07Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.53Ohio State University-1.270.1%1st Place
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5.81Michigan State University-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.82Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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7.64Saginaw Valley State University-3.100.0%1st Place
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9.06Miami University-3.990.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Notre Dame-4.470.0%1st Place
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9.51Purdue University-4.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyatt Tait | 24.5% | 28.3% | 20.8% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 39.9% | 26.0% | 19.5% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 10.3% | 11.9% | 17.9% | 18.3% | 18.2% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Knox | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Williams | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caden Meyers | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jack Rutherford | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Avie Krauss | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 24.9% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 3.8% |
| Graham Parsons | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 12.8% | 23.2% | 27.7% | 22.0% |
| John Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 26.1% | 39.9% |
| Kellyn Bucceri | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 19.6% | 27.8% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.