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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+0.83vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.61+2.11vs Predicted
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3Washington University-1.65+1.35vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.91+0.87vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.22+0.34vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-4.51+3.39vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-2.28-1.67vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.38-2.42vs Predicted
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9Miami University-3.73-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-3.05-3.11vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-5.14-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Ohio State University-0.030.5%1st Place
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4.11Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.35Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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4.87Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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5.34Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
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9.39Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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5.33Indiana University-2.280.1%1st Place
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5.58Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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8.25Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 50.9% | 27.3% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.9% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.3% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Avery | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Luke | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 14.6% | 35.2% | 30.1% |
| Weston Rapp | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Mathis Destouches | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 26.9% | 24.2% | 9.9% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 9.1% | 1.9% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 22.2% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.