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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+4.18vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+1.76vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.87+7.65vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+4.73vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.83+1.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.97+0.75vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.39-1.80vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.07+1.63vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08+1.99vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.92+4.99vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97+0.98vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.29-6.74vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.09-7.02vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.06-8.12vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.27-1.87vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.33-1.85vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.07-6.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Brown University2.7312.9%1st Place
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3.76Harvard University3.1821.6%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont0.873.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island1.424.3%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.2%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University1.835.3%1st Place
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7.75Boston College1.976.1%1st Place
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6.2Dartmouth College2.398.6%1st Place
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10.63Northeastern University1.072.8%1st Place
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11.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.9%1st Place
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15.99Olin College of Engineering-0.920.4%1st Place
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12.98Salve Regina University0.970.9%1st Place
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6.26Yale University2.298.9%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.097.4%1st Place
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6.88Bowdoin College2.066.6%1st Place
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14.13Connecticut College0.271.1%1st Place
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15.15Maine Maritime Academy-0.330.6%1st Place
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11.51Boston University1.072.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 21.6% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.9% | 19.4% | 45.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 6.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 19.6% | 12.6% |
| Nathan Hyde | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 23.9% | 28.5% |
| Porter Bell | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.