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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+0.85vs Predicted
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2Washington University-1.65+2.18vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-2.38+2.75vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-2.28+1.58vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.22+0.27vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.61-1.89vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.91-2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-3.05-1.18vs Predicted
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9Miami University-3.73-0.90vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-5.14-0.10vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85Ohio State University-0.030.5%1st Place
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4.18Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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5.75Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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5.58Indiana University-2.280.1%1st Place
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5.27Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
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4.11Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.51Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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8.1Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
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9.93Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 50.5% | 26.0% | 15.0% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 9.6% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mathis Destouches | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 9.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Weston Rapp | 5.4% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Avery | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.5% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 8.5% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 29.8% | 19.2% | 7.5% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 9.9% | 32.2% | 45.7% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 33.2% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.