← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio State University-0.03+0.82vs Predicted
-
2Indiana University-2.28+3.41vs Predicted
-
3Hope College-1.61+1.22vs Predicted
-
4Washington University-1.65+0.29vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-2.38+0.60vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University-1.91-1.32vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-2.22-1.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Notre Dame-3.05-1.14vs Predicted
-
9Miami University-3.73-0.88vs Predicted
-
10University of Illinois-5.14-0.09vs Predicted
-
11Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.82Ohio State University-0.030.5%1st Place
-
5.41Indiana University-2.280.1%1st Place
-
4.22Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
-
4.29Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
-
5.6Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.68Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
-
5.13Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
-
6.86University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.12Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
-
9.95Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 51.2% | 28.7% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Weston Rapp | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.5% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 8.9% | 13.7% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mathis Destouches | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 6.6% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 8.2% | 1.0% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 16.3% | 30.7% | 19.1% | 7.5% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 10.4% | 31.9% | 45.8% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 34.0% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.