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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+0.83vs Predicted
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2Washington University-1.65+2.16vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.91+1.82vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.61+0.23vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.22+0.35vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-2.28-0.51vs Predicted
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7Miami University-3.73+1.08vs Predicted
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8Purdue University-2.38-2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-3.05-1.93vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-5.14-0.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Ohio State University-0.030.5%1st Place
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4.16Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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4.82Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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4.23Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
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5.35Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
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5.49Indiana University-2.280.0%1st Place
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8.08Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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5.6Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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9.32Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 51.2% | 26.6% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 10.1% | 15.3% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 7.8% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.3% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Avery | 6.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Weston Rapp | 4.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 22.9% | 8.5% |
| Mathis Destouches | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 3.5% |
| Piper Luke | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 34.7% | 29.1% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.