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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.03+0.81vs Predicted
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2Washington University-1.65+2.12vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.61+1.29vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.91+0.84vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-2.22+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-3.05+1.04vs Predicted
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7Miami University-3.73+1.11vs Predicted
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8Indiana University-2.28-2.64vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-2.38-3.24vs Predicted
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10Saginaw Valley State University-4.51-0.69vs Predicted
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11University of Illinois-5.14-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Ohio State University-0.030.5%1st Place
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4.12Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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4.29Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
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4.84Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
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5.32Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
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8.11Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
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5.36Indiana University-2.280.1%1st Place
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5.76Purdue University-2.380.0%1st Place
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9.31Saginaw Valley State University-4.510.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Shaw | 51.5% | 27.4% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 10.0% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 9.7% | 13.0% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 7.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Avery | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 26.1% | 22.8% | 8.5% |
| Weston Rapp | 5.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mathis Destouches | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Piper Luke | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 15.1% | 34.7% | 28.9% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 9.7% | 21.1% | 57.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.