← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington University-1.65+3.24vs Predicted
-
2Ohio State University-2.22+3.29vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University-0.03-1.14vs Predicted
-
4Michigan State University-1.91+0.80vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-1.61-0.91vs Predicted
-
6Indiana University-2.28-0.60vs Predicted
-
7Purdue University-2.38-1.57vs Predicted
-
8Miami University-3.73+0.03vs Predicted
-
9University of Notre Dame-3.05-2.00vs Predicted
-
10Saginaw Valley State University-5.16-0.05vs Predicted
-
11University of Illinois-5.14-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.24Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
-
5.29Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
-
1.86Ohio State University-0.030.5%1st Place
-
4.8Michigan State University-1.910.1%1st Place
-
4.09Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.4Indiana University-2.280.1%1st Place
-
5.43Purdue University-2.380.1%1st Place
-
8.03Miami University-3.730.0%1st Place
-
7.0University of Notre Dame-3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.95Saginaw Valley State University-5.160.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of Illinois-5.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hsia | 8.9% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Avery | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 49.7% | 27.9% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 7.1% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 11.3% | 15.0% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Weston Rapp | 5.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Mathis Destouches | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Tiegan Witte | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 16.1% | 28.4% | 20.1% | 5.9% |
| Nolan Hammerschmidt | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 19.3% | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Adam Bryan | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 9.6% | 31.4% | 47.3% |
| Arseniy Titov | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 10.5% | 33.9% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.