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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.50+1.36vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-1.46+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.52-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.01-2.02vs Predicted
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6Gonzaga University-3.74+1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-3.34-0.23vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-4.75+0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.42-3.58vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-1.63-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Western Washington University-0.500.4%1st Place
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4.0Oregon State University-1.460.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Oregon-1.520.1%1st Place
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2.98University of Oregon-1.010.2%1st Place
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7.14Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Oregon-3.340.0%1st Place
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8.33Gonzaga University-4.750.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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4.09Oregon State University-1.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 35.2% | 27.0% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 9.9% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Clark | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Clinch | 22.7% | 22.0% | 19.9% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 21.8% | 33.2% | 20.4% |
| Audrey Lillie | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 28.4% | 31.0% | 10.3% |
| Alexis Von Doersten | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.3% | 18.1% | 66.6% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 5.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 23.9% | 19.8% | 11.0% | 2.2% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.