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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+4.16vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+1.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+4.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.39+2.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+3.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.83+2.00vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.43+4.57vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.07+3.64vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.06-2.13vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+2.78vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.09-4.03vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-0.35vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.07-2.36vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.87-3.20vs Predicted
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151.42-5.61vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.29-9.80vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering-0.92-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Brown University2.7313.1%1st Place
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3.74Harvard University3.1822.6%1st Place
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7.67Boston College1.976.2%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.398.2%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.455.5%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University1.833.9%1st Place
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11.57Connecticut College0.431.8%1st Place
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11.64Boston University1.072.1%1st Place
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6.87Bowdoin College2.067.3%1st Place
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12.78Salve Regina University0.971.1%1st Place
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6.97Roger Williams University2.097.0%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.081.9%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University1.072.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont0.872.7%1st Place
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9.391.423.3%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.2910.7%1st Place
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15.6Olin College of Engineering-0.920.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Callahan | 22.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Satterberg | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Powers | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Porter Bell | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 5.5% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 12.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 5.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Henry Lee | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 12.7% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.