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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-1.46+2.79vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.01-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.52-1.13vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-1.63-1.99vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.42-1.64vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.74-0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-3.34-2.25vs Predicted
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10Gonzaga University-4.75-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Oregon State University-1.460.1%1st Place
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2.52Western Washington University-0.500.3%1st Place
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3.12University of Oregon-1.010.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Oregon-1.520.1%1st Place
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4.01Oregon State University-1.630.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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7.28Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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6.75University of Oregon-3.340.0%1st Place
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8.31Gonzaga University-4.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Wheaton | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 12.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 32.5% | 24.8% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 21.3% | 19.2% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Clark | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 11.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 24.5% | 21.5% | 9.1% | 0.9% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 20.3% | 39.4% | 19.8% |
| Audrey Lillie | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 13.1% | 29.5% | 28.0% | 11.2% |
| Alexis Von Doersten | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 6.8% | 17.9% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.