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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.50+1.26vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-1.010.00vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.52-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.42+0.21vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-2.12-1.30vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-1.46-3.35vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-3.34-1.47vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.70-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26Western Washington University-0.500.4%1st Place
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3.0University of Oregon-1.010.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Oregon-1.520.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
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4.7Oregon State University-2.120.1%1st Place
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3.65Oregon State University-1.460.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Oregon-3.340.0%1st Place
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6.87Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 37.7% | 26.2% | 19.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 20.6% | 22.6% | 21.9% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Clark | 13.0% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 22.6% | 20.3% | 8.3% |
| Ethan Wickman | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 20.4% | 13.3% | 4.5% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 13.9% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Lillie | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 29.1% | 36.7% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 25.9% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.