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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Oregon-1.52+1.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50-0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.01-1.03vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-1.46-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.42-0.76vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-3.34-0.51vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.70-1.07vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-2.12-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73University of Oregon-1.520.1%1st Place
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2.29Western Washington University-0.500.4%1st Place
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2.97University of Oregon-1.010.2%1st Place
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3.7Oregon State University-1.460.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Oregon-2.420.0%1st Place
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6.49University of Oregon-3.340.0%1st Place
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6.93Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
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4.65Oregon State University-2.120.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Clark | 11.9% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Hurley | 36.6% | 26.4% | 18.0% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Clinch | 22.4% | 22.1% | 20.1% | 16.3% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 13.2% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.2% | 23.3% | 21.5% | 7.3% |
| Audrey Lillie | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 30.1% | 33.5% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 25.9% | 51.6% |
| Ethan Wickman | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 20.3% | 20.1% | 12.1% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.