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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-1.52+1.56vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University-1.46+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.01-1.97vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-3.34-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.42-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Oregon-1.520.2%1st Place
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2.5Oregon State University-1.460.2%1st Place
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2.03University of Oregon-1.010.4%1st Place
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4.37University of Oregon-3.340.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Oregon-2.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Clark | 23.6% | 26.2% | 26.2% | 18.1% | 5.9% |
| Hunter Wheaton | 24.4% | 26.1% | 28.9% | 16.4% | 4.2% |
| Rowan Clinch | 40.2% | 29.1% | 19.8% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| Audrey Lillie | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 21.3% | 63.8% |
| Ryan Tuttle | 8.4% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 34.7% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.