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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.93+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-2.09+2.44vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.21+0.01vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.26-0.89vs Predicted
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6Gonzaga University-3.70+0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.24-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-2.33-3.18vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.74-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Oregon State University-0.930.3%1st Place
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4.44University of Oregon-2.090.1%1st Place
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3.01Western Washington University-1.210.2%1st Place
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3.11Western Washington University-1.260.2%1st Place
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6.75Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Oregon-2.240.1%1st Place
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4.82University of Oregon-2.330.1%1st Place
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6.72Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 30.8% | 24.3% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 3.5% |
| Allison Sasaki | 21.5% | 22.0% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Beeson | 20.2% | 22.1% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 12.3% | 26.8% | 44.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 8.8% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 3.8% |
| Kate Ryan | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 5.5% |
| Kevin McGann | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 28.9% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.