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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.77vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+5.01vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.60+4.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.42-0.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+1.08vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.14+2.82vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.40vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.33vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.50vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.51-1.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-3.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.93-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.88vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-1.54vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Boston College2.0910.2%1st Place
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7.01Harvard University2.106.7%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College1.605.0%1st Place
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3.63Yale University2.4222.8%1st Place
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6.08Brown University2.0410.3%1st Place
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8.82Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.7%1st Place
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8.33Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University1.978.0%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College1.514.4%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.7%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University0.932.7%1st Place
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9.12University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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12.46Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
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12.38University of Vermont-0.131.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 22.8% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 4.6% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 6.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 21.6% | 37.1% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 20.1% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.