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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.93+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-2.24+2.70vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-2.09+1.38vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.21-1.00vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.26-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.33-1.23vs Predicted
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7Gonzaga University-3.74-0.21vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.70-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56Oregon State University-0.930.3%1st Place
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4.7University of Oregon-2.240.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Oregon-2.090.1%1st Place
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3.0Western Washington University-1.210.2%1st Place
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3.09Western Washington University-1.260.2%1st Place
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4.77University of Oregon-2.330.1%1st Place
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6.79Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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6.71Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 31.5% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
| Molly McLeod | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 20.2% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| Allison Sasaki | 21.0% | 22.9% | 18.0% | 19.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Beeson | 20.3% | 22.7% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kate Ryan | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 23.0% | 14.1% | 5.2% |
| Kevin McGann | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 26.6% | 46.9% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 30.8% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.