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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-2.24+3.61vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.21+1.02vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.93-1.40vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.33-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.09-1.55vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.26-3.96vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.74-1.21vs Predicted
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9Gonzaga University-3.70-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61University of Oregon-2.240.1%1st Place
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3.02Western Washington University-1.210.2%1st Place
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2.6Oregon State University-0.930.3%1st Place
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4.8University of Oregon-2.330.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Oregon-2.090.1%1st Place
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3.04Western Washington University-1.260.2%1st Place
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6.79Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
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6.7Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Zink | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 20.0% | 12.5% | 4.6% |
| Allison Sasaki | 21.6% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 29.6% | 24.9% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Kate Ryan | 6.9% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 4.6% |
| Molly McLeod | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 2.7% |
| Jack Beeson | 22.7% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Kevin McGann | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 24.5% | 47.4% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 15.0% | 29.0% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.