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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.93+1.50vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.21+0.82vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.26-1.14vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.09-0.92vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-2.33-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.24-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Oregon State University-0.930.3%1st Place
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2.82Western Washington University-1.210.2%1st Place
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2.86Western Washington University-1.260.2%1st Place
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4.08University of Oregon-2.090.1%1st Place
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4.45University of Oregon-2.330.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Oregon-2.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 29.2% | 27.1% | 20.7% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Allison Sasaki | 24.8% | 23.0% | 19.6% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 4.9% |
| Jack Beeson | 22.8% | 21.1% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 23.5% |
| Kate Ryan | 6.1% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 17.2% | 23.0% | 34.3% |
| Dylan Zink | 7.7% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.