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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.93+1.52vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.26+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon-2.24+1.50vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.21-1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-2.33-0.34vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-2.09-2.74vs Predicted
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8Gonzaga University-3.70-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Oregon State University-0.930.3%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University-1.260.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Oregon-2.240.1%1st Place
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2.96Western Washington University-1.210.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Oregon-2.330.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Oregon-2.090.1%1st Place
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6.15Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassius Tossavainen | 32.5% | 24.5% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Jack Beeson | 21.0% | 24.7% | 19.0% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Zink | 7.2% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 20.9% | 24.0% | 10.5% |
| Allison Sasaki | 23.0% | 19.7% | 22.2% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Kate Ryan | 5.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 26.0% | 14.0% |
| Molly McLeod | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 20.3% | 8.4% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.