← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University-1.21+1.93vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University-0.93+0.62vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon-2.24+1.61vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-2.33+0.82vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon-2.09-1.58vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-1.26-3.93vs Predicted
-
8Gonzaga University-3.74-1.21vs Predicted
-
9Gonzaga University-3.70-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.93Western Washington University-1.210.2%1st Place
-
2.62Oregon State University-0.930.3%1st Place
-
4.61University of Oregon-2.240.1%1st Place
-
4.82University of Oregon-2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.42University of Oregon-2.090.1%1st Place
-
3.07Western Washington University-1.260.2%1st Place
-
6.79Gonzaga University-3.740.0%1st Place
-
6.73Gonzaga University-3.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Sasaki | 23.5% | 21.4% | 21.9% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Cassius Tossavainen | 28.3% | 26.2% | 18.9% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Zink | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 3.8% |
| Kate Ryan | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 15.7% | 4.9% |
| Molly McLeod | 8.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 2.6% |
| Jack Beeson | 20.9% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Kevin McGann | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 24.2% | 47.8% |
| Gabi Feleciano | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 12.6% | 31.8% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.