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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.36+1.41vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.36+0.41vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-1.31vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-1.07vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.43-1.52vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.82-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41Virginia Tech-0.360.3%1st Place
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2.41Virginia Tech-0.360.3%1st Place
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3.98University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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2.69University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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4.1American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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4.93University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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5.48William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.41Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 34.9% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 34.9% | 25.2% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 9.9% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 25.9% | 26.4% | 20.4% | 13.9% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.3% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 20.2% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 40.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 18.7% | 21.2% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.