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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.42+1.59vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.10+4.16vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+5.77vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04+0.99vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.51+2.34vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+0.68vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60-0.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.84vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.97-4.43vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-3.23vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.42vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-1.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.13-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Boston College2.0911.0%1st Place
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3.59Yale University2.4222.7%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.106.5%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University0.932.1%1st Place
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5.99Brown University2.048.8%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College1.515.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.035.5%1st Place
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7.54Dartmouth College1.606.0%1st Place
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8.29Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Rhode Island0.993.6%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University1.978.3%1st Place
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8.77Boston University1.144.3%1st Place
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
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12.28Connecticut College0.521.4%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont-0.131.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 22.7% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 5.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 19.3% | 36.9% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 19.1% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.