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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.36+1.39vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.36+0.39vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.82+1.57vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.58-2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-1.98vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.43-1.50vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.02-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.39Virginia Tech-0.360.4%1st Place
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2.39Virginia Tech-0.360.4%1st Place
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4.57Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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4.05American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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2.72University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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5.5William and Mary-2.430.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hale | 35.2% | 26.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hale | 35.2% | 26.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 18.7% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 10.2% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 27.4% | 23.7% | 19.2% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 9.1% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 42.3% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.