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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.58+0.46vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.82+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-0.19vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-1.25vs Predicted
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7American University-1.49-3.12vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-2.43-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Virginia Tech-1.290.2%1st Place
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2.46University of Maryland-0.580.3%1st Place
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4.42Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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3.81University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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3.42Virginia Tech-1.290.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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3.88American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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5.26William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 18.4% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 32.6% | 27.4% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.8% | 8.7% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 13.6% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 18.4% | 17.9% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 13.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 37.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.