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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.29+2.46vs Predicted
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2American University-1.49+1.82vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+0.46vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-2.43+1.35vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.82-0.56vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.02-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.44-3.20vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.58-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Virginia Tech-1.290.2%1st Place
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3.82American University-1.490.1%1st Place
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3.46Virginia Tech-1.290.2%1st Place
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5.35William and Mary-2.430.1%1st Place
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4.44Penn State University-1.820.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Delaware-2.020.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.440.1%1st Place
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2.36University of Maryland-0.580.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Deslauriers | 18.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 18.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Bodor | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 20.0% | 38.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.2% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Seton Dill | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Powell | 12.9% | 15.8% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 36.4% | 25.5% | 17.5% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.