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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Penn State University-1.47+0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-0.66vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-1.94-2.26vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.73-3.53vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-4.14-1.84vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Penn State University-1.470.4%1st Place
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3.34University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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2.74William and Mary-1.940.2%1st Place
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2.47University of Delaware-1.730.3%1st Place
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5.16University of Maryland-4.140.0%1st Place
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5.07American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Simpkins | 35.1% | 28.7% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| John TIS | 12.3% | 17.2% | 19.3% | 30.4% | 17.2% | 3.6% |
| Harrison Rohne | 21.7% | 21.3% | 27.9% | 20.9% | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| Benjamin Koly | 27.4% | 26.1% | 23.9% | 17.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| David Shewfelt | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 33.4% | 50.1% |
| Ella Lane | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 11.4% | 35.0% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.