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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University-1.47+1.65vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.63+0.86vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.78+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+0.07vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.63-2.14vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.94-2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-4.14-0.91vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Penn State University-1.470.3%1st Place
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2.86Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Delaware-1.780.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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2.86Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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3.38William and Mary-1.940.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Maryland-4.140.0%1st Place
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5.86American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Simpkins | 29.0% | 24.5% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 23.3% | 21.2% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 19.4% | 20.4% | 20.5% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 26.9% | 16.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 23.3% | 21.2% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 14.6% | 17.6% | 19.6% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| David Shewfelt | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 32.0% | 49.8% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 33.8% | 41.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.