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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.63+1.88vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.47+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.78+0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45+0.07vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.63-2.12vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.94-2.62vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-4.14-0.91vs Predicted
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8American University-4.01-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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2.64Penn State University-1.470.3%1st Place
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3.08University of Delaware-1.780.2%1st Place
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4.07University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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2.88Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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3.38William and Mary-1.940.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Maryland-4.140.0%1st Place
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5.86American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 23.3% | 23.5% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 28.3% | 23.3% | 20.5% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 20.1% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 10.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 27.4% | 16.1% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 23.3% | 23.5% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 14.4% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 22.1% | 17.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| David Shewfelt | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 31.7% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 34.4% | 41.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.