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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.63+1.86vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.78+1.08vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.47-0.35vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-1.94-0.63vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.63-2.14vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.45-1.89vs Predicted
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7American University-4.01-1.06vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-4.14-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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3.08University of Delaware-1.780.2%1st Place
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2.65Penn State University-1.470.3%1st Place
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3.37William and Mary-1.940.2%1st Place
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2.86Virginia Tech-1.630.2%1st Place
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4.11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.450.1%1st Place
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5.94American University-4.010.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Maryland-4.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Springer | 24.0% | 23.5% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 20.0% | 19.4% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 5.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 27.0% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 16.8% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 24.0% | 23.5% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John TIS | 8.0% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 20.3% | 26.5% | 14.7% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 35.0% | 42.4% | 0.0% |
| David Shewfelt | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 29.9% | 48.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.