Race 1A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joe Serpa 11.5% 12.4% 12.9% 12.6% 10.6% 11.9% 10.8% 10.2% 3.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Joseph Gallagher 9.5% 7.1% 9.3% 11.1% 8.8% 10.8% 12.3% 10.9% 11.6% 7.2% 1.4%
Jake Weinstein 15.0% 13.4% 13.5% 12.4% 11.3% 10.8% 9.1% 7.7% 4.7% 2.1% 0.0%
Charlie Herrick 14.4% 15.1% 11.7% 13.7% 13.0% 9.8% 9.2% 6.3% 4.0% 2.3% 0.5%
Odey Hariri 9.0% 7.8% 8.3% 9.8% 9.9% 10.1% 10.2% 11.0% 12.7% 9.6% 1.6%
Nick Myneni 5.0% 7.9% 6.8% 7.6% 7.9% 8.7% 11.0% 12.2% 16.0% 11.6% 5.3%
Nithya Balachander 11.9% 11.0% 10.8% 9.6% 12.1% 11.3% 9.4% 10.9% 7.4% 4.3% 1.3%
Christian Ehrnrooth 12.8% 12.6% 14.4% 11.2% 11.3% 9.5% 9.6% 7.0% 8.4% 2.7% 0.5%
Jenna Kozal 2.3% 3.4% 3.0% 3.0% 2.8% 5.3% 5.4% 8.2% 12.7% 34.7% 19.2%
Greg Bittle 7.9% 8.7% 8.3% 8.2% 10.4% 9.5% 10.8% 12.2% 13.3% 8.8% 1.9%
Carly Irwin 0.7% 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 3.4% 5.4% 13.8% 67.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.