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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+3.43vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.83+1.78vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.70+1.08vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.92+2.14vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.89+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia3.01-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54-2.49vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+0.42vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+3.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy1.22+0.97vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-1.22vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.07-0.66vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.32+1.38vs Predicted
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14American University0.59-1.52vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.45-4.63vs Predicted
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16William and Mary1.29-5.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.43Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Naval Academy3.830.2%1st Place
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4.08Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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6.14Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.890.1%1st Place
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5.9University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Virginia3.540.2%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.44Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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10.97U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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9.78Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.34Christopher Newport University1.070.0%1st Place
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14.38William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.48American University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.37Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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10.84William and Mary1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Post | 15.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Ramos | 19.7% | 18.3% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 17.5% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 6.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Don Hause III | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 15.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 14.5% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Natalie Ross | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 6.8% |
| Efe Brock | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 16.9% | 51.0% |
| Leigh Cramer | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 14.9% |
| Douglas Zangre | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Scott Guinn | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.