Race 2A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nithya Balachander 8.2% 10.5% 10.2% 10.9% 11.7% 11.4% 12.3% 12.2% 7.4% 4.7% 0.5%
Joseph Gallagher 9.2% 8.0% 9.6% 10.4% 9.3% 11.6% 10.2% 12.8% 10.3% 6.7% 1.9%
Joe Serpa 13.4% 11.3% 12.6% 12.7% 10.9% 10.0% 10.0% 8.8% 6.4% 3.7% 0.2%
Charlie Herrick 14.7% 13.1% 13.2% 13.4% 13.7% 10.9% 8.6% 5.6% 3.7% 2.9% 0.2%
Odey Hariri 9.4% 7.9% 7.5% 9.8% 10.3% 10.5% 9.1% 11.9% 12.3% 9.8% 1.5%
Nick Myneni 5.1% 8.4% 6.6% 7.4% 7.7% 8.2% 12.6% 11.6% 16.0% 12.3% 4.1%
Christian Ehrnrooth 14.0% 12.7% 12.8% 11.4% 10.7% 12.0% 9.1% 7.8% 6.0% 2.8% 0.7%
Jake Weinstein 16.5% 16.2% 16.2% 11.0% 10.4% 7.6% 8.6% 7.0% 5.2% 1.0% 0.3%
Greg Bittle 6.1% 8.6% 7.3% 8.3% 9.6% 10.2% 10.3% 11.7% 13.1% 10.7% 4.1%
Jenna Kozal 2.7% 2.5% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 5.4% 6.8% 7.7% 13.1% 32.7% 18.6%
Carly Irwin 0.7% 0.8% 0.7% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 6.5% 12.7% 67.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.