Race 3A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jake Weinstein 13.4% 13.3% 15.8% 11.7% 12.3% 10.2% 10.2% 6.5% 4.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Greg Bittle 7.9% 6.0% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 9.3% 12.5% 13.2% 12.3% 10.3% 2.8%
Charlie Herrick 14.4% 14.6% 14.0% 11.1% 11.6% 10.2% 9.7% 7.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.1%
Joe Serpa 11.9% 11.7% 11.3% 12.1% 12.4% 12.0% 9.9% 8.0% 6.1% 3.8% 0.8%
Andrew Michels 8.5% 9.0% 7.4% 9.7% 8.1% 10.6% 9.5% 11.1% 14.1% 9.7% 2.3%
Christian Ehrnrooth 12.2% 13.4% 10.1% 12.4% 11.1% 10.5% 8.7% 9.0% 7.1% 4.7% 0.8%
Odey Hariri 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 9.4% 10.3% 10.4% 10.5% 12.8% 10.8% 7.4% 2.0%
Nithya Balachander 11.4% 10.5% 11.6% 11.9% 10.8% 9.2% 9.7% 9.8% 8.9% 5.5% 0.7%
Joseph Gallagher 7.8% 9.4% 8.1% 9.3% 10.1% 9.5% 11.3% 11.5% 12.8% 7.6% 2.6%
Jenna Kozal 2.6% 2.3% 3.9% 3.0% 3.4% 5.6% 5.6% 8.0% 13.1% 33.9% 18.6%
Carly Irwin 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.5% 2.5% 2.4% 2.6% 5.4% 13.4% 69.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.