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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+3.34vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+4.16vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.23+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.07+0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.64+0.73vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.00-1.11vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.82-1.88vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.56-2.22vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.54-2.90vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.63-1.53vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.34University of Wisconsin1.250.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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4.45Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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5.73University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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5.12Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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5.78Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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6.1Michigan Technological University0.540.1%1st Place
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8.47Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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10.08Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 2.9% |
| Jake Weinstein | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 12.1% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Nithya Balachander | 11.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Jenna Kozal | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 33.4% | 18.8% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 13.4% | 68.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.