Race 5A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlie Herrick 13.1% 16.4% 13.3% 11.7% 13.6% 11.3% 9.4% 6.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Nithya Balachander 10.2% 9.8% 10.9% 12.4% 10.8% 9.6% 11.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.4% 0.9%
Jenna Kozal 2.6% 2.7% 2.6% 2.4% 4.1% 4.1% 5.8% 7.3% 13.4% 33.4% 21.6%
Nick Myneni 5.2% 5.5% 6.3% 7.2% 7.4% 8.8% 12.2% 13.9% 16.5% 13.3% 3.7%
Joseph Gallagher 9.8% 8.3% 8.6% 9.7% 10.8% 10.4% 9.8% 12.5% 10.5% 7.6% 2.0%
Joe Serpa 13.1% 13.8% 11.8% 13.5% 10.2% 11.5% 9.6% 7.2% 5.0% 3.7% 0.6%
Jake Weinstein 17.6% 16.0% 14.7% 10.9% 11.1% 10.2% 8.1% 5.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.3%
Greg Bittle 7.9% 6.5% 8.1% 11.5% 8.3% 10.5% 11.6% 10.4% 14.6% 8.4% 2.2%
Christian Ehrnrooth 12.0% 11.4% 12.8% 10.5% 12.0% 10.3% 8.4% 11.6% 7.1% 2.9% 1.0%
Carly Irwin 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 1.8% 3.1% 6.2% 15.6% 65.8%
Odey Hariri 7.9% 9.0% 10.1% 8.7% 10.1% 10.9% 11.8% 12.1% 9.8% 7.9% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.