Race 6A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nithya Balachander 9.1% 8.5% 11.5% 10.2% 11.6% 12.1% 11.5% 12.0% 8.3% 4.4% 0.8%
Odey Hariri 7.3% 8.0% 9.5% 9.2% 9.4% 10.5% 10.5% 12.8% 11.5% 9.3% 2.0%
Charlie Herrick 13.8% 14.4% 14.1% 13.1% 11.8% 10.4% 9.0% 6.0% 5.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Joseph Gallagher 8.3% 8.5% 7.5% 8.6% 9.5% 12.1% 13.4% 11.8% 10.9% 7.6% 1.8%
Jake Weinstein 17.2% 14.4% 12.8% 12.9% 11.3% 9.7% 7.7% 6.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6%
Greg Bittle 6.6% 7.5% 8.8% 8.7% 10.0% 9.8% 10.7% 11.2% 13.2% 10.2% 3.3%
Nick Myneni 7.1% 7.4% 6.7% 7.8% 9.5% 8.6% 10.8% 13.1% 14.3% 11.6% 3.1%
Christian Ehrnrooth 13.4% 12.7% 11.8% 13.2% 10.4% 10.6% 9.1% 8.7% 6.8% 2.7% 0.6%
Jenna Kozal 2.2% 3.3% 2.9% 3.5% 3.0% 4.5% 5.5% 9.4% 12.3% 33.0% 20.4%
Carly Irwin 0.8% 0.5% 1.0% 1.4% 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 5.9% 15.9% 66.5%
Joe Serpa 14.2% 14.8% 13.4% 11.4% 12.2% 9.5% 9.8% 6.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.