Race 7A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Ehrnrooth 10.5% 11.2% 12.3% 12.3% 11.1% 12.6% 12.3% 7.8% 6.4% 3.1% 0.4%
Greg Bittle 7.5% 7.1% 8.8% 7.6% 10.4% 8.8% 11.6% 13.1% 13.1% 9.2% 2.8%
Jake Weinstein 14.4% 14.4% 12.9% 13.6% 10.8% 10.3% 8.9% 7.7% 5.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Odey Hariri 6.8% 8.5% 7.5% 8.5% 9.0% 11.6% 12.1% 13.0% 13.1% 7.5% 2.4%
Joe Serpa 14.1% 11.7% 13.6% 12.1% 10.9% 10.4% 8.6% 8.5% 5.8% 4.2% 0.1%
Nithya Balachander 9.3% 11.6% 9.7% 11.0% 12.6% 10.2% 9.8% 10.0% 8.5% 5.6% 1.7%
Charlie Herrick 17.5% 17.0% 13.2% 12.5% 11.8% 9.6% 7.0% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Nick Myneni 6.9% 5.3% 7.6% 9.8% 8.7% 9.1% 10.8% 11.5% 14.7% 13.2% 2.4%
Jenna Kozal 2.3% 3.1% 3.3% 2.8% 3.1% 5.1% 5.8% 8.3% 12.2% 34.3% 19.7%
Joseph Gallagher 9.8% 9.4% 10.4% 8.5% 10.4% 10.5% 10.9% 10.6% 11.8% 6.2% 1.5%
Carly Irwin 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 3.9% 5.5% 13.4% 68.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.