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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.56+5.00vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82+3.24vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.23+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.07+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.25-0.74vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.00-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.64-1.51vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.30-1.63vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.63-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas0.47-4.04vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-1.75-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0Purdue University0.560.1%1st Place
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5.24Indiana University0.820.1%1st Place
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4.42Northwestern University1.230.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Michigan1.070.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Notre Dame0.640.1%1st Place
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6.37Michigan Technological University0.300.1%1st Place
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8.54Marquette University-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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10.09Grand Valley State University-1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odey Hariri | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Nithya Balachander | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 16.4% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 11.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Nick Myneni | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 2.6% |
| Jenna Kozal | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 33.2% | 20.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 2.4% |
| Carly Irwin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 13.6% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.