Race 9A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlie Herrick 13.3% 14.9% 14.2% 12.7% 11.2% 11.9% 10.1% 6.5% 3.6% 1.4% 0.2%
Jake Weinstein 15.7% 14.1% 13.9% 12.9% 12.0% 9.1% 9.0% 6.2% 5.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Nithya Balachander 9.5% 9.1% 9.2% 11.0% 10.8% 10.7% 11.9% 11.3% 10.5% 5.1% 0.9%
Jenna Kozal 1.7% 2.5% 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 4.5% 8.5% 11.2% 35.9% 22.4%
Christian Ehrnrooth 13.2% 11.6% 12.0% 11.0% 9.9% 10.9% 10.5% 8.3% 7.2% 5.1% 0.3%
Odey Hariri 7.1% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 9.4% 9.6% 11.7% 12.9% 12.5% 8.2% 2.2%
Joe Serpa 14.6% 13.5% 12.7% 12.4% 12.6% 9.6% 8.8% 7.7% 5.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Greg Bittle 7.7% 6.7% 8.7% 8.7% 9.7% 11.5% 9.9% 11.5% 14.2% 9.6% 1.8%
Joseph Gallagher 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.7% 10.6% 9.8% 11.1% 11.7% 12.0% 8.3% 2.3%
Andrew Michels 8.9% 8.7% 7.7% 10.1% 8.8% 10.5% 10.3% 12.0% 13.4% 6.9% 2.7%
Carly Irwin 0.6% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 2.2% 3.4% 4.4% 16.2% 66.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.